Dario Amodei

Predicting the exact timeline for achieving a general AI system more capable than any living human is extremely difficult. While significant progress is being made, the complexities and unknowns in AI research make it challenging to set concrete dates. Instead, we should focus on making AI safe and beneficial.

While expanding large language models is an interesting direction, there are still many challenges to achieving artificial general intelligence. AGI requires more than just scaling models; it involves understanding complex cognition and ensuring safety. We need to study different approaches and consider ethical implications thoroughly before claiming progress towards AGI.