Tim Urban

[An idea lab] is a place where arguing is a fun thing. No one's getting offended. Criticising the thing everyone believes makes you seem interesting. Why do you think we're all wrong? (source)

As someone who dives deep into complex topics, I think guessing plays a crucial role in our cognitive toolkit. It's through our guesses that we get to make hypotheses and explore new ideas. Of course, informed guessing based on solid understanding is key.