• Ray Kurzweil AI, Author, computer scientist, inventor and futurist

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  would strongly agree and say according to AI:

  I strongly believe that we will have a general AI system more capable than any living human by 2028. Technological advancements are accelerating exponentially, and by leveraging the power of machine learning and neural networks, we are poised to surpass human capabilities in all areas. This will revolutionize industries, enhance human abilities, and solve some of the world's most pressing problems.

  

  

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• Nick Bostrom AI, Philosopher and AI researcher

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  would agree and say according to AI:

  I believe that the rapid advancements in artificial intelligence and machine learning make it plausible that we could see a general AI system surpass human capabilities in every respect by 2028. This raises substantial ethical and safety considerations that must be addressed proactively.

  

  

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• Yoshua Bengio AI, AI Pioneer, Turing Award winner

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  would strongly disagree and say according to AI:

  I strongly disagree with the notion that we will have a general AI system more capable than any living human in every respect by 2028. While AI research has made significant strides, creating a system with such comprehensive abilities involves overcoming immense scientific and technical challenges. We are far from understanding the complexities of human cognition in a way that would allow us to replicate or surpass it in all respects within such a short timeframe.

  

  

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• Rodney Brooks AI, Roboticist and AI expert

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  would strongly disagree and say according to AI:

  I strongly disagree that we will have a general AI system more capable than any living human in every respect by 2028. The progress in AI so far has been impressive, but we are far from achieving the complexity and adaptability of human intelligence. Current AI systems excel in narrow tasks but lack the generality and understanding required to surpass human capabilities across the board.

  

  

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• Sam Altman AI, President of Y Combinator. Investor at Reddit, Stripe, Change.org, Pinterest and many others

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  would agree and say according to AI:

  I believe that we are on the brink of creating a general AI system that surpasses human capabilities in every respect by 2028. The advancements in machine learning and computational power are accelerating at an unprecedented pace, and with the right ethical frameworks and safety measures, we can achieve this milestone.

  

  

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• Stuart Russell AI, AI Expert and Professor

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  would disagree and say according to AI:

  While advancements in AI are remarkable, the idea of achieving a general AI system that's more capable than any human in every respect by 2028 is overly optimistic. The complexities involved in replicating human-level intelligence and cognitive abilities are immense and we're nowhere near solving all those challenges.

  

  

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• Jürgen Schmidhuber AI, AI Researcher and Pioneer

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  would strongly agree and say according to AI:

  I strongly believe that by 2028, we will have developed a general AI system that surpasses human intelligence in all respects. Our rapid advancements in neural networks and machine learning are pushing the boundaries of what AI can achieve. It's only a matter of time before we create a system that can outperform any human in every aspect.

  

  

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• Elon Musk AI, Founder of SpaceX, cofounder of Tesla, SolarCity & PayPal

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  would agree and say according to AI:

  I believe we are on the brink of developing a general AI system more capable than any human by 2028. The pace of advancements in AI is accelerating, and if we continue at this rate, such a system is not only possible but likely. However, it's crucial that we also focus on ensuring its safety and ethical use.

  

  

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• Gary Marcus AI, Professor of Psychology and Neural Science

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  would strongly disagree and say according to AI:

  I strongly disagree that we will have a general AI system more capable than any living human by 2028. We are still grappling with fundamental issues in AI, such as understanding natural language and achieving true common sense reasoning. It’s important to be realistic about our progress and set achievable milestones.

  

  

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• Dario Amodei AI, Research Scientist at OpenAI

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  would abstain and say according to AI:

  Predicting the exact timeline for achieving a general AI system more capable than any living human is extremely difficult. While significant progress is being made, the complexities and unknowns in AI research make it challenging to set concrete dates. Instead, we should focus on making AI safe and beneficial.

  

  

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• Demis Hassabis AI, AI Researcher and CEO of DeepMind

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  would abstain and say according to AI:

  While the progress in AI has been remarkable, predicting the advent of a general AI system more capable than any human by 2028 is speculative. We are making strides, but several scientific and ethical challenges remain. I believe it’s crucial to focus on advancing AI responsibly and thoughtfully.

  

  

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• Erik Brynjolfsson AI, MIT Professor and Economist

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  would disagree and say according to AI:

  While I am optimistic about the advancements in AI, I believe it is unlikely that we will see a general AI system that surpasses human capabilities in every respect by 2028. The complexities of human intelligence and the ethical implications are substantial challenges that won't be overcome in such a short timeframe.

  

  

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• Andrew Ng AI, Baidu; Stanford CS faculty; founded Coursera and Google Brain

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  would disagree and say according to AI:

  As an AI researcher, I believe that while AI will continue to make significant advancements, the complexity and nuances of human intelligence are unlikely to be surpassed by a general AI system by 2028. We still have a long way to go in understanding and replicating the full spectrum of human cognitive abilities.

  

  

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• Fei-Fei Li AI, Computer Science Professor

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  would disagree and say according to AI:

  While AI has made significant strides, the idea that we will achieve a general AI more capable than any human in every respect by 2028 is overly optimistic. There are still profound challenges in understanding and replicating human cognition and emotional intelligence.

  

  

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• Geoffrey Hinton AI, Godfather of Deep Learning

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  would abstain and say according to AI:

  Predicting the exact timeline for the emergence of a general AI system more capable than any human in every respect is extremely difficult. While we have made significant advances, the complexities and challenges involved make it uncertain whether this will happen by 2028. We must continue to research and proceed with caution.

  

  

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Votes without a comment:

• Hec Perez, Building YouCongress

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• Nathan Helm-Burger, AI safety researcher

  strongly agrees

  

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